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UNC vs UVA Game 2

Hoos were up 6-0 in eighth. Good job by Waddell holding them scoreless for seven.

Don't understand bringing in Sborz to try close out last two innings. I know if we win tonight we clinch series, still I'd rather have saved him to start tomorrow. We could have used rest of pen with six run lead. Instead he's given up two and lead down to 6-2 with UNC still at bat. Don't know who will start tomorrow now.

WAR ROOM-- 5.15.15

The WAR ROOM is back and this edition is full of hoops recruiting scoop! As the Cavaliers continue to put in work on the trail, we'll touch on a key target coming off his official visit who is planning to see his other top school this weekend. Where do things stand with him? How well positioned is UVa? And where do things go from here following his trip this weekend? We'll get into all of that as well as two other intriguing recruitments in the 2016 class, one being perhaps the top guy on Virginia's board at the moment and the other being a potential shooter with length that would provide a lot of mismatches for the Wahoos. So where do things stand as far as UVa is concerned? We'll break it all down for you here.

As always, what's said in the War Room, stays in the War Room. Let's go!

The latest on Hauser

We'll start this week with three-star Wisconsin prospect Sam Hauser who, coming off of his visit to UVa last weekend, will be on an official visit to Marquette over the next couple of days. And in talking to the Stevens Point (WI) native, it's clear that those are his top two schools.

The wrinkle, though, is that in talking to him it's also clear he's not quite ready to shut down his recruitment.

First, let's handle the UVa visit. Sources said that Hauser and his family had a great time and he confirmed that with CavsCorner.

"It went really, really well," he said. "In my mind, it was pretty great. The campus is beautiful and there's a lot of rich history to it. And the arena where they play is phenomenal. It's pretty unbelievable, really. They've got everything in that one building with academics, the practice facility, main court, dining hall, you name it. It seems like the atmosphere on campus was pretty sweet, too. Everyone is very loyal to their school and I like that.

"I've heard such good things about Virginia," Hauser added, "and when I went there and saw it, it was better than what people told me. It was better than what I had heard."

When he started hearing from Tony Bennett and the Cavaliers a couple of years ago via mail, he didn't have any idea things would develop as they have so far. But after Bennett saw him play a couple of times last summer, things really picked up.

"He just wasn't sure how things would play out in terms of the numbers," Hauser said. "So he came to a game this year, one of my high school games, and then he came and watched me again this spring in Minneapolis and again told me he liked what he saw but he said he knew right away that he wanted to offer me when he saw me play. That was pretty cool. I think any time you get offered, it's something of a surprise sort of but I could kind of feel it coming in a way because we had been talking before that tournament and he made it seem like they were really interested. He said he really liked what he'd seen out of me and I just had to go out and perform."

On his visit last weekend, the staff made the case about why UVa is the right fit and Hauser said he was able to see that on film.

"They see me as a sort of Justin Anderson in a way but we're different players," he said. "I would fill that role but I'd be more of a shooter. They showed me film of how I'd fit in. They had some clips of me and then clips how they play. Coach said I reminded him of Joe Harris and said I could be one of those types of players."

Hauser and his family visited UVa at a time when classes were wrapped up and because of their various exam schedules, all of the players except for Anthony Gill had already left Charlottesville. But Hauser said he didn't come away thinking of that as a negative that hurt Virginia's chances.

"It really didn't bother me that there weren't more guys around," he explained. "Of course you always want to meet them but getting to meet Anthony Gill, I could tell right away that he was a really genuine guy, a really good guy. He's humble, he's funny, and I could tell that's the kind of guy Coach brings into his program and I fit in. It was good to meet him and get a feel for the program."

Considering how well the visit went, was there ever a moment where he thought seriously about ending his recruitment?

"I had a great time but I didn't really think too hard about committing while I was there," he said. "I wasn't really planning on doing it on the spot like that because I knew I wanted to take some other visits. I have the upcoming visit to Marquette this weekend and then I think I'm going to do a couple of visits in June. I just really wanted to see it at Virginia so I could compare it to other schools when I take those other visits."

Hauser, who said he's up to 6-foot-6, 200 pounds, doesn't have a timetable for a decision but said he hopes to take more visits even though he's got a clear top two.

"In my mind, I see Marquette and Virginia being pretty even right now," he said. "I just recently got some more calls. I got some calls from Stanford and I've heard Kansas might be interested in offering me, that's the rumor. I might take a couple of other visits just to see but right now, Marquette and Virginia are the top choices."

Asked what he's looking for in a potential home, he said, "I've got to make sure the coaches aren't feeding me a bunch of bull crap, I've got to make sure they're straight forward guys first off, and so far all of the coaches recruiting me are straight forward so that's a plus. Outside of that, I'm looking for a school with good academics, because basketball isn't going to last forever. Also, I want a school that's going to develop me and hopefully, I'll have a chance to play professionally after college so I want to go somewhere that will prepare me for that."

Given the top two schools in the mix, what kind of role does he think distance will play in his decision?

"That's the big question I still have to figure out," he said. "That's the one thing I've really got to think about because it's the one thing I wasn't really sure about. That's something I'll really have to think about when I want to make a decision. That's one thing I'll have to weigh in."

One positive for UVa? Not only did Hauser say his parents really enjoyed their time on Grounds but he also said they aren't worried about the distance aspect.

"They liked it a lot," he said. "They really liked it. They thought it was really cool and they told me either way, if you go far away or you're close to home, we're going to come to every one of your games. So, it didn't matter to them."

As you can see, there's reason for both optimism and some concern as far as UVa's chances go. The reality is that while the Cavaliers clearly made an impression, Hauser has a plan and no matter how much he enjoyed the trip he wasn't going to come off the board.

The rubber will really meet the road after this weekend. If he remains uncommitted for a week or so, that's probably good news for Virginia. But if he starts to set up too many more visits (Hauser said he had planned on visiting Creighton but didn't know if that trip would happen now and added that he didn't know if they'd stay on his list or not), then it starts to get a little tricky.

It's certainly not unheard of for a player to commit to a school he visits first (Kenny Williams obviously did that), but the further you get away from an official generally isn't a good thing.

For now, we wait and see how he enjoys Marquette and what he decides to do going forward.

A holding pattern for Diakite?

We know that people are still clamoring for details on four-star Rivals150 power forward Mamadi Diakite and suffice to say not too much has changed since last week. In talking to sources this week, the Cavaliers are in a holding pattern like everyone else right now.

That's not to say there's a negative to that, though. While there's no doubt that Bennett and his staff would love to have this one locked up and done, the reality is that both USC and Washington are in the same boat. Digging deeper into things, there's a sense that UVa has had some ups and downs in this one but that all along, the Hoos have been the clear favorite. The big unknown right now, maybe more so than timing, is what exactly will matter when he and his mentor talk about the decision. Clearly Virginia is the place he feels most comfortable and has the coaches he knows the best. But what kind of weight will that carry weight? That's the question our sources had this week and it's something that won't be answered right away.

The expectation from at least one key source that this one gets done by the end of the month is still there but the confidence level in that happening seems to be waning a bit. Our best read at this point is that it will likely take a little longer before he makes his decision. We still think it's safe to see UVa as the front runner but until the decision making process really starts, we wouldn't advise going too far beyond that.
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FWIW, Bossi said Jerome will move up next ranking update...

Thread on the national board.

Didn't say how much, but he's already a high 3 star. Poster asked Bossi why he's so low now, especially with the Spring he has had. Didn't recognize the poster...pretty sure he's not one of us on CC.

We're all excited about SKJ & Guy, and the possibility of adding Diakite, but TJ has all the qualities Tony loves. He's going to play early and a lot.

Baseball: Hoos take Game 1 at UNC

From UVa:

Virginia Defeats North Carolina, 2-1 in 10 Innings
Cavaliers rally in ninth inning for key victory

The Virginia baseball team scored a run in the ninth inning to tie the game and pushed across the go-ahead run in the 10th to claim a crucial 2-1 win over North Carolina Thursday evening in the opener of a three-game ACC series at Boshamer Stadium in Chapel Hill, N.C. Virginia (31-19, 13-15 ACC) reduced its magic number to clinch an ACC tournament bid to one and needs either a win or a Wake Forest loss over the next two games to seal a berth in the tournament.

“It was just a complete team effort,” Virginia head coach Brian O’Connor said. “Connor Jones was outstanding to go out there and give us eight strong innings and keep the game in check. (UNC’s) pitching was very good, but we hung in there and found a way to get a run in the ninth and another in the 10th. It was a huge win for us.”

Both starting pitchers were tremendous. Virginia starting pitcher Connor Jones (So., Chesapeake, Va.) was brilliant as he worked a career-high eight innings, giving up a run, seven hits and one intentional walk while striking out nine. UNC starter Zac Gallen went 8 1/3 innings, allowing a run, five hits and two walks while striking out six.

After moving to the mound from center field, Adam Haseley (Fr., Windermere, Fla.) earned the win and improved to 2-1 after pitching a perfect ninth inning. He also scored the eventual game-winning run after doubling in the 10th inning. Alec Bettinger (So., Woodbridge, Va.) stranded runners at second and third base in the 10th inning to earn his third save. Trent Thornton (3-6) took the loss for North Carolina (32-20, 13-14) after allowing the 10th-inning run.

Both teams finished with seven hits in the pitchers’ duel. Kenny Towns (Sr., Burke, Va.) and Robbie Coman (Jr., Lake Worth, Fla.) each had two hits for UVa. Tyler Ramirez hit a sixth-inning home run to account for the Tar Heels’ lone run.

After eight innings of frustration at the plate, Virginia scratched across a run in the ninth inning. With one out Pavin Smith (Fr., Jupiter, Fla.) doubled to center field. UNC went to reliever Trevor Kelley, but on the second pitch Coman hit a bouncer up the middle that caromed off the glove of a diving Elijah Sutherland at second base to easily score Smith.

Haseley led off the 10th inning with a double to left-center field. After Daniel Pinero (So., Toronto, Ontario) walked, Matt Thaiss (So., Jackson, N.J.) laid down a sacrifice bunt. UNC intentionally walked Towns to load the bases, and Smith hit a grounder over the mound but the Tar Heels were just able to get the force out at second, as Smith beat out the throw to first base with Haseley scoring on the play.

UNC threatened in its half of the 10th. Bettinger walked the leadoff batter, Alex Raburn. After Logan Warmoth bunted the runner to second base, Coman was charged with a passed ball to put Raburn on third. Bettinger struck out pinch hitter Zack Gahagan for the second out. UVa elected to intentionally walk Ramirez, and he then stole second base to put the winning run in scoring position. Bettinger buckled down to get Landon Lassiter to foul out to right field to end the game.

Virginia had a great scoring chance in the fourth inning, putting runners at the corners with one out after Sutherland booted a potential double-play ball. Gallen rebounded to get Coman to pop up to short before Kevin Doherty (Jr., Laytonsville, Md.) grounded out to end the inning.

After 5 1Ž2 scoreless innings, UNC broke through in the sixth inning when Ramirez led off with a home run off the scoreboard in left-center field, his eighth home run of the season.

UVa earned its second extra-inning win of the season. The Cavaliers topped Marist, 5-4 in 18 innings on Feb. 22, in the longest game by innings in program history.

Game 2 of the series is set for 6:30 p.m. Friday and will be streamed online on ESPN3. The series finale is slated for noon Saturday and will be televised by ESPNU.

Bill Guthridge Passes Away

Just saw that former UNC assistant basketball coach under Dean Smith and successor to Dean when he retired, Bill Guthridge passed away today at age 77. I remember reading about all that Coach Guthridge did for Coach Smith after Alzheimer's started to take its toll on him. It was obvious how much he loved Coach Smith, and I think it is fitting that he follows Coach Smith closely in death. I don't know of anything negative that anyone could say about Coach Guthridge as a human being, and my sympathy goes out to his family and friends. I'm sure that Coach Smith and Coach Guthridge are having a great time in Heaven talking basketball like the best of friends they were in life.
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UVA 1 of 7 FBS programs attendance decline of more than 5k in 2014

Almost 7,000 fewer fans per game in 2014 vs 2013, per ESPN. Decreased attendance isn't surprising given on-field results, but what is surprising is that we lost the fifth most fans per game of any program in FBS.

There are plenty of other struggling FBS programs out there, but we bled fans worse than almost all of them. You could look at that many ways, though. Other perennially bad programs might be near rock bottom for attendance (i.e. down to just the loyal diehards). Given the good will built up from the 80s-early 2000s plus good seasons in 2007 and 2011, and initial optimism about the coaching change in 2010-11, UVA has probably had a lot of "fairer weather" fans to lose.

How far until rock bottom? Who knows. My suspicion is that a derelict UVA program would probably draw about 30k on average per game ... we averaged 39k last year (no VT home game hurt). We averaged more than 59k in 2007, but it's been downhill from there. Not only are we fighting a downward program trajectory, but college football as a whole is facing an attendance crisis (lowest attendance since 2003 last year). That might explain why we only averaged 45.7k in 2011 despite the good season and more popular (then) head coach.

http://espn.go.com/college-football...e-football-attendance-hits-worst-average-2003

VAF does it again.

I returned home from the baseball game Tuesday evening to find an email from VAF indicating that because my annual pledge for 2015 had been reduced, I might not be able to maintain my seats for my football season tickets. I was instructed that I must contact VAF no later than Wednesday in order to be assured of keeping my seats. I had not reduced my 2015 pledge, so I was befuddled. For the past several years I have paid 20% of my pledge each month from January through May, and I had already received acknowledgement of my first four payments from VAF this year..

I called the person from whom I had received the email and got a message that he was out of state. I left a message, and he did return my call. I explained the situation, and he stated that since he was away from his computer, he did not know why I had been flagged but advised that he would take care of it.

I am a graduate of UVA and have been a VAF donor for about 30 years. I have had football season tickets for about 25 years, and I have had basketball season tickets since JPJ opened. This situation would have been unfortunate under any circumstances, but at a time when UVA is begging people to purchase football season tickets, such action is incomprehensible.
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The economics of the NFL draft

Now that the draft is behind us I wanted to highlight a couple of things.

First Congrats to Eli and Max for getting drafted. Also congrats to Ant Harris for signing UFA with Minnesota.

Now to the more interesting stuff.

So we all know that Eli was getting a first/second round grade by the scouts and ended up getting drafted 79th overall (15th pick in the third round)

I saw lots of misinformation about the salaries and what it means to Eli from an economic perspective so I wanted to clear it all up.

The rookie base salary for 2015 draft pics is $2,280,000 over the 4 years.

435k year 1, 525k year 2, 615k year 3, 705k year 4. Only first round picks and some second round picks get their rookie contracts guaranteed so remember that when you are looking at this information.

Signing bonus makes up the difference in rookie salaries.

As the 79th pick Eli's signing bonus is going to be approximately $606,376. That brings his total contract value to $2,886,376.

If Eli had been the last pick in the first round (which was Brown from Texas) it would have been $4,652,002. If he had been the 15th pick in the second round his signing bonus would have been $2,906,376.

So by dropping to the middle of the third round it cost Eli between $2.3M and $4M over the life of his rookie contract. Or put another way between 575K and 1M per year. That is a significant difference.

Now I am not saying he made a bad decision or questioning the advice he got but the money is significantly different enough that he will have to stay healthy, get a good second contract and be very smart with his money to be financially secure for the rest of his life.

For those that might say what if he got hurt. I am helping a college athlete and university place a injury/ disability policy right now. This player had a late first round grade and was contemplating coming out but wanted to be the first in his family to graduate college. If he gets hurt and slips into the 3th round or later or goes undrafted due to the injury then he will receive a tax free check for $3M. The premium is financed until he signs he first professional contract. He could have signed a policy for $5M but the school did not want to finance that large a premium. This is similar to the Oregon cornerback that got hurt in December. He is getting a $5M check because he fell to the 7th round.

Hoos beat Richmond 8-6

Ugly game with lots of hits and poor pitching. But Richmond had runners on the corners with zero outs in T8 and Bettinger came in and struck out two in a row and getting a ground out to end the inning with no damage. Then Pinero drove in two runs in B8 to take the lead for good. This is a game we could not afford to lose heading into the last ACC series against UNC on Thursday.

Baseball: Hoos beat Spiders in home finale

From UVa:

Virginia Defeats Richmond, 8-6
Pinero’s two-run single in eighth provides winning margin

Daniel Pinero (So., Toronto, Ontario) hit a two-out, two-run single in the eighth inning to break a 6-6 tie and lift the Virginia baseball team to an 8-6 win over Richmond Tuesday evening in the Cavaliers’ 2015 home finale at Davenport Field. In rallying from an early 3-0 deficit, Virginia (30-19) earned its 13th straight victory over the Spiders (26-21)

“It was a gutty team win,” Virginia head coach Brian O’Connor said. “Certainly falling behind 3-0 in the first inning wasn’t the way we drew it up, but we’ve been there before and our guys hung in there and a number of those guys in the bullpen did a nice job. We took advantage of some of our opportunities and I was proud of our guys for picking each other up.”

In his final game at Davenport Field, senior Kenny Towns (Burke, Va.) went 3-for-3 to highlight Virginia’s 11-hit night. Pinero, Joe McCarthy (Jr., Scranton, Pa.) and Matt Thaiss (So., Jackson, N.J.) each added a pair of hits. Richmond finished with a dozen hits as each starter recorded at least one hit.

Virginia’s bullpen worked 8 1/3 innings to help the Cavaliers to the win as David Rosenberger (Jr., Bethlehem, Pa.), Kevin Doherty (Jr., Laytonsville, Md.), Adam Haseley (Fr., Windermere, Fla.) and Alec Bettinger (So., Woodbridge, Va.) pieced the rest of the game together. Bettinger worked out of a big jam in the eighth inning and pitched two innings total in earning the win to improve to 4-3 on the year. UVa starter Jack Roberts (So., Richmond, Va.) lasted just two-thirds of an inning, giving up three earned runs, four hits and a walk.

James Lively (1-2) took the loss for Richmond after allowing two unearned runs in the eighth inning. He worked two innings total. UR used four pitchers; starter Dan Martinson pitched two innings, allowing four earned runs, three hits and a walk.

Richmond started fast by sending eight batters to the plate in a three-run first inning. Roberts got the leadoff man out, but the next five Spiders reached base safely, with Matt Dacey and Tanner Stanley hitting back-to-back RBI singles before Jansen Fraser drove a sacrifice fly to right with the bases loaded to make it 3-0, prompting a pitching change.

Virginia took its first lead by scoring four runs in the second inning. The first four Cavaliers reached bases, with each coming around to score. Towns hit a leadoff single and after Pavin Smith (Fr., Jupiter, Fla.) walked, Robbie Coman (Jr., Lake Worth, Fla.) and McCarthy hit back-to-back RBI singles. A pair of wild pitches brought Coman around to score, and McCarthy came home when Ernie Clement (Fr., Rochester, N.Y.) hit a sacrifice fly to deep left field.

The teams exchanged runs in the third inning. Richmond tied the game on a fielder’s choice grounder from Fraser, but UVa grabbed the lead back when Smith hit a sacrifice fly to center field.

UR again tied the game in the fourth on an RBI grounder from Daniel Brumbaugh, but UVa forged back ahead in the fifth when Thaiss led off with a solo homer to right field, his team-leading ninth blast of the year. The Spiders tied the game in the sixth inning when Tyler Beckwith launched a two-out solo homer into the left-field bleachers.

UR got back-to-back singles from Fraser and pinch hitter Doug Kraeger to put runners at the corners to start the eighth inning against Haseley. Bettinger entered and struck out consecutive batters looking before getting Brumbaugh to ground out to end the threat.

McCarthy led off the eighth inning with a towering double that short-hopped the center-field wall. One out later, Clement reached on a throwing error by Dacey at third base. Haseley grounded out to first base to advance the runners and Pinero slapped the 1-1 pitch to right field, scoring McCarthy and Clement for an 8-6 UVa lead.

The Cavaliers wrap up the regular season Thursday through Saturday at North Carolina. The series opens at 7 p.m. Thursday in a game that will be televised by the ACC’s Regional Sports Networks (Comcast SportsNet Mid-Atlantic in the Charlottesville area).
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