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Column: First third of the season has been tough for the Hoos

Column: Through four games, UVa has given both the optimists and pessimists plenty of things on which to hang their hats. There’s no debate, though, that the first third of the season has been a tough road for the Wahoos.

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Some UVa football notes thru NC State

Happy Sunday everyone. I was putting together my game grades and found a few trends I thought were worth posting here. Mostly bad, of course. But certainly helps explain why UVa is 0-4.

SCHEDULE: UVa's 0-4 record has come against teams with a combined 14-2 mark (losses to ND and Florida). The rest of the schedule doesn't look great, either. UVa has BC and William & Mary before the bye. But after the bye, four of their six remaining opponents are 4-0 (UNC, Miami, Louisville, Duke) and three of those games are on the road. UVa plays two opponents currently with losing records: BC and VT, both 1-3. Right now, UVa's 12 opponents are a combined 38-10 (79.2% win percentage).

CLOSING GAMES: UVa has been outscored in the fourth quarter 50-11 this year, with their late TD vs NC State their first 4th-quarter TD of the season. Opponents are averaging 3.7 points per drive in the 4th quarter, when removing kneel-down situations. UVa also has 6 of their 7 turnovers lost in the 4th quarter, and all 7 have been in the second half. UVa has been charged with 108 penalty yards in the 4th quarter, 53% of their penalty yards for the season. 60 of those yards directly contributed to the game-winning score by the opponent in the final minute.

RED ZONE DEFENSE: UVa's defense has faced 19 red-zone drives from opponents this season. On those, the opponent has scored a TD on 16 of them. The three non-TD drives: NC State's game-winning field goal after the penalty moved it up, JMU FG made from the 20 yard line (counts as a RZ drive but they hadn't been in the RZ until getting to the 20 on 3rd down), and JMU taking a knee at the UVa 15 to end the game. So you could say that if an opponent has made the red zone this year with the intention of scoring a touchdown, they've done so 100% of the time. Last year UVa's defense was 7th nationally in Red Zone TD rate allowed (44.1). So far this year, 127th nationally (84.2%).

PASSING GAME IMPROVEMENT: Anthony Colandrea already has many 250+ yard passing performances (3) as Brennan Armstrong did last year in 10 starts (3). Colandrea is completing 61.8% of his passes this season vs 54.6% for Armstrong, while throwing for 9 yards per attempt vs 6.5 for Brennan in 2022. Malik Washington already has more receiving TDs (3) than anyone on the team had last year. His 459 receiving yards through 4 games would have been 2nd on the team last year (KT had 579).

Did everybody see what Oregon just did with a 28pt lead and 1:20 left before the half; two time outs; Did they sit on the lead: NOPE; scored!

This is how you play football with an Alpha male QB and coaching staff. You put the foot down and don't take nothing for granted; to send a message in what use to be a combat style sport with broken bones, bloody clothes, and knocked out teeth back in the 60's, 70's in the NFL.

Maybe Elliott and staff can go out to Oregon and get some coaching up this summer on how to not sit on the ball at half and techniques for toughing up the spines of coaching staff and technique and strength conditioning for your players to not be turnstiles on the O line.

So after the game I decided to compare stats of AC vs BA as of now in 4 games for BA and 3.25 games for AC

So out of frustration of this loss and felt bad for the guys that played hard to lose this game and come up short.

So I went and looked up BA's stats for this year vs first year AC. Despite AC's 6 INTS he is playing hard and making things happen. Several of his INTs I would contribute to poor WR play on the ball in 50/50 situations.

Here are Brandon Armstrong's stats: He has 859 yards passing through 4 games, 5 TDs and 4 INTs and is averaging 214.75 yards passing a game.

Here are Anthony Colandrea's stats: He has 923 yards passing through 3.25 games. 5 TDs also but 6 Ints and is averaging 284 yards passing a game, despite no line where he is running for his life and only two prime targets of Washington and Fields that look heavily covered.

I like Colandrea's Moxy and will take him all day. Yeah he's young and will make a few mistakes, but he surprisingly has alot of promise if we can get an o line and let him go to work improvising on passing or running the ball to keep the chains moving.

Starling

Anybody have the real scoop on why Starling decided to red shirt and leave the program. Was it solely based on not receiving any pass attention first two games, or lack of reps in practice? Have to think it was more than that. Chemistry, not liking Elliot or his position coach. Darn shame as he was our best deep threat

College Football Promotion/Relegation Model

So, I don't see this ever happening, but curious to see what people think about a promotion/relegation model for college football like they do for soccer. Do you like the idea? Essentially, you already have tiers of teams based on resources (money, academics, NIL, etc.). Again, don't ever see this coming to fruition, but thoughts about the model for college football?

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